Slightly warmer temperatures for first half of weekend, biting cold returns next week

ROCKFORD (WREX) — If you’re not of thrilled about being in the low 30s in early November, fear not. You’ll have one mild day to enjoy before even colder temperatures return.

Temperatures are going to remain cold through Friday, but something important happens to our winds this afternoon. While we’ll keep the northwesterly winds to start the day, winds become more southwesterly and eventually southerly. High pressure slides south of the region, allowing for winds to make that slow southerly turn. What does this mean for the weekend ahead?

First, let’s talk about the increase in clouds overnight into early Saturday. This additional cloud cover acts as a blanket to trap leftover “heat” from the prior afternoon. Since highs today are only going to be in the lower 30s, we’re far from talking about a mild night. At best, it’ll wind up being slightly less cold. Temperatures into early Saturday are going to start in the lower 20s. Yes, it’s going to be chilly. Yes, it’ll likely be frosty. But it won’t be in the low teens. This trend sticks around through the afternoon as southwesterly winds continue ahead of an approaching cold front.

Anytime a cold front is knocking at your door, there are usually a few things you can count on: a quick warm-up before the big cool down and possibly precipitation. We’ll for sure see the warmer temperatures tomorrow afternoon as highs climb into the middle 40s. It’s still below average, but I’m not complaining about that. It looks like the cold front, which is poised to move through overnight Saturday into Sunday, comes through with little fan fare. Aside from mostly cloudy skies and maybe an isolated sprinkle or snowflake, we’ll likely remain dry.

Following the cold frontal passage, winds become more northwesterly again as the coldest air of the season begins to inch closer. Sunday features highs in the 30s under mostly cloudy skies. All eyes are going to be on the next approaching system early Monday, which could bring a round of accumulating snow. At this point, it’s too early to get into specific details regarding accumulations.

Not only could we start next week with snow, but we’ll also have unseasonably cold temperatures. Highs Monday and Tuesday could threaten records for lowest daily high temperature for November 11th and 12th. Temperatures do moderate somewhat into the middle and end of next week, but the trend keeps cooler-than-average temperatures locked into the Midwest.

Justin Ballard

Justin Ballard

Morning Meteorologist

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